Monday, January 12, 2009

Viral Tell Zone now largest US carrier

Verizon has completed its acquisition of Alltel, making the CDMA carrier the nation’s largest, with 83.7 million subscribers and 28% market share. Verizon promised
Since Verizon Wireless and Alltel use the same technology platform, the vast majority of customers will be able to use their current handset after the transition to Verizon Wireless.
About 2.1 million subscribers across 105 (mostly rural) markes in 24 statets will be divested to meet antitrust concerns, with Verizon dumping a mix of Alltel, Verizon and Unicel (acquired last August) branded properties.

Verizon said it will integrate Alltel name, products, services and distribution in Q2. The LAT spotted a missed opportunity:
Sadly, that probably means slapping Verizon names on the Alltel properties, rather than some strange combination such as AllVerizon, Veritel or Allizon. Too bad they don't want to use an anagram of Verizon Alltel: the best one we could find was Viral Tell Zone, which seems fitting for a wireless company.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Qualcomm's progress on 3G and 4G notebooks

In conjunction with this week’s Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas, Forbes has a long article on Qualcomm’s design wins for its Gobi chipset.
In 2007, it made an entrance with Gobi, a module that contains a Qualcomm chipset, global positioning system functionality and a modem that supports a wide range of third generation, or 3G, cellular networks.

That last point is Gobi's selling point. Its flexible modem enables users to connect to the Web anytime, anywhere, regardless of carrier technology. That's helpful in a world that toggles between two different cellular standards: GSM (Global System for Mobile communications) and CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access). It simplifies things for PC makers, too. "[Manufacturers] love it because it takes complexity out of the equation," says Dan Shey, a principal analyst at ABI Research. "Before, they had to stock a different computer model for each carrier."
In all, Forbes says five companies — Acer, Dell, HP, Lenovo and Panasonic — plan on releasing notebook computers using Gobi chipsets to provide 3G connectivity for mobile broadband users.

Since the Forbes article, two other companies announced new Gobi-enabled computers at CES: the $1000 OQO Model 2+ and Sony with its $900 P-series. Both are netbook-sized machines being sold at twice the price, and thus the vendors seem to be using Gobi as a way to sell a premium-priced computer.

The Gobi chipsets leverage Qualcomm’s strong relationships with carriers, enabling notebook makers to win certification of their 3G-enabled laptops based on a cellular carrier’s prior certification of Qualcomm’s technology.

Forbes warns, however, that dual-mode 3G may just be a small niche for global business travelers and not a consumer market. It also notes that Qualcomm’s 3G advantage — of being able to equally be able to support W-CDMA and cdma2000 (which it calls GSM and CDMA) goes away when we get to 4G when there’s only the GSM-inspired LTE. Qualcomm promises to upgrade Gobi for LTE.

(At one point it looked like WiMax might challenge LTE but now it’s clear that it won’t. That works out well for Qualcomm, which bet heavily against WiMax.)

When Qualcomm officially conceded two months ago that UMB is dead, I wondered what role Qualcomm will play in the future mobile industry, since for the first time since 1995 it doesn’t have a mobile phone standard of its own.

In 3G, Qualcomm has been aggressively exploiting the window of opportunity created by its 3G multimode expertise to create a premium-priced, differentiated product for notebook PCs. In the early days of 4G, Qualcomm will have a new opportunity to offer tri-mode chipsets — W-CDMA, cdma2000 and LTE.

However, in the long run, the 4G world will be one of a single standard with many entrants, including low-cost producers like Huawei. High competition for a standardized product equals commoditization, so Qualcomm will either have to compete at that level or find new ways to differentiate its products.

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

The San Diego-Israel mobile nexus

This month, Levi Shapiro writes about the mobile phone startup industry in Israel. It calls back to mind the links between San Diego and Israel’s mobile phone industries.

Yes, CommNexus has run events involving Israeli companies. Yes, Andy Viterbi has an honorary degree from Technion and Irwin (and Joan) Jacobs have named the graduate school.

But as Levi notes, many young Israeli men learn about radios during their mandatory military service. Our interviews included a few examples:
  • One example was Bar-Giora Goldberg, who did his bachelor’s and master’s at Technion and spent a decade with the Israeli military doing spread spectrum, before taking a 1977-1978 sabbatical at Linkabit and coming back for good in 1980. He founded the first Linkabit spinoff (Sciteq), and worked with other local startups (including Peregrine Semiconductor) before cofounding Avaak.
  • Then there is Itzhak Gurantz, who also did his bachelor’s and master’s at Technion applying to the Berkeley PhD program while on reserve duty in the Army. He went from Berkeley (via a friend of Viterbi’s) to join Linkabit, and then on to start ComStream and Entropic, among other positions in the local telecom industry.
  • On our list — but not yet interviewed — is Eric Paneth, another Technion & Linkabit alumnus who is founding CEO of Orckit.
When I met Levi at the USC conference in August, he obviously had some mobile colleagues in San Diego, so I’m surprised he didn’t think these (or some other) connections worth mentioning. I guess I’m the historian and he’s consulting to firms trying to make a buck today.